|Another scrappy game. Another 3 points.|
What bothers me is that it’s becoming increasingly regular that following our games this season there are plenty of “fans” that have nothing but negativity and pessimism towards our team, our players, our formations, our set up, our coach and our performances, no matter what the result!
You’d think these guys would cheer up, especially when you look at what we are experiencing right now in comparison to recent seasons. (Over the previous three seasons we lost 54% of our games and won only 24%, currently this season we’re losing 12% of our games, and winning 75%.)
What concerns me most is the all to familiar statement from fans saying that “at this rate we’ll never be promoted.”
Well, I decided to challenge that theory with facts, by looking at the history of League One, the end of season results of the last 10 Champions, and see how our own results would compare should the form of our first 8 games continue until May.
(Let me remind Doom and Gloomers, that it is YOU that says our current form isn’t good enough, not me. It is because of your constant moaning that I have even bothered to look into these statistics.)
* * * *
We’ve played 8 games so far the season. If we multiply all of our results by 5.75 we get the proposed results of a total seasons worth of 46 games, based on what we have achieved so far this year.
Played 8 Won 6 Drawn 1 Lost 1 Points 19
Multiply by 5.75 to get total season results:
Played 46 Won 34 Drawn 6 Lost 6 Points 108
Let me state right now that I’m realistic.
I don’t believe for a second that just because our first 8 games have ended the way they have, that our remaining 38 will follow suit. These, however are facts, and they give a true and honest reflection on how we are progressing and whether we are on track for promotion or not. If we’re playing as badly as some would make us believe, doing this will only multiply our faults and show our inability to compete for promotion right…?
So I’ll continue by comparing the above forecast results with the actual results of the last 10 Champions of League One.
I’ll break down some of those results a little further:
League One Champions of the last 10 Seasons
Average Wins Per Season- 27
Most Wins Per Season - 30
Least Wins Per Season - 23
Wolves on track for - 34
Average Draws Per Season - 11
Most Draws Per Season - 15
Least Draws Per Season - 8
Wolves on track for - 6
Average Losses Per Season - 8
Most Losses Per Season - 12
Least Losses Per Season - 4
Wolves on Track for - 6
Average Points Per Season - 92
Wolves on Track for - 108
According to those results, based on our start of the season, we could finish this season with a record breaking haul of wins and points!
I’ll repeat, I am realistic! I’m not living on a different planet, and I appreciate that the likely-hood that this will happen is small. I just wish that the people who continue to bang on and on about how our performances and our current team are not enough to get promotion would take five minutes to look at what we are actually achieving and celebrate.
Be proud of our boys. Support the bad performances and enjoy the good. After all, if we continue to play as badly as you say we are for the rest of the season, I’m pretty sure you’ll be happy with the automatic promotion none-the-less.